It is typical of New AutoMotive's new analysis that provides that Europe will stop selling oil to its stations in passenger vehicles by 2030, because it will simply not be in the best interest and these pump spaces should be used for large electric chargers... In London the decision has already been made.
However, behind these decisions - which for some are still intentions and for others simple thoughts, difficult questions are hidden about stations, trucks, and what will happen to our market when the race against diesel reaches the Greek pumps.
The evidence is overwhelming.
The United Kingdom, which sold nearly 1.3 million diesel passenger cars in 2015, has seen sales descend to about 100,000 units today. This alone is a huge transformation, coordinated with European emission standards and the incentives for electric drive that have changed the manufacturer's strategy.
Even in Greece, although much slower than the UK or Germany, we observe the same trend. Diesel sales are steadily shrinking, while electric drive begins to gain ground – not as fast as environmentalists would like, but enough to mean alarm bells for the fuel system we know.
New AutoMotive's study focuses exclusively on passenger vehicles leaving aside a piece of the market that essentially defines the viability of diesel: commercial vehicles, trucks, vans, buses.
The Greek system of professional transport depends almost exclusively on the diesel. Professional vehicles can't "pass" on electricity as passengers do.
What about the Greek gas stations?
For Britain, 2030 makes sense. For Greece, change will be significantly slower. Our market is conservative, our infrastructure more in the back, and our fleet's average age is high. The real question is not whether the diesel will ever stop. It's how — and at what rate — They will reorder the stations themselves to operate. A lot of gas stations will be in a bad position. They will be influenced by environmental regulations and the gradual exclusion of old diesels from urban centres. They will be damaged by the cost of maintaining expensive infrastructure for customers shrinking towards electric drive.
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