Why EU, IMF and OECD are more optimistic about Greek surplus
**Greek primary surplus: Why international organisations systematically underestimate results**
While the budget statement for 2025 is approaching, the phenomenon of continuous upward revisions is repeated. The primary surplus originally estimated at 2.5% of GDP ends up reaching 5%. The European Commission, the IMF and the OECD start with more optimistic forecasts from Athens, but ultimately fall short of reality. The causes: additional revenue from the fight against tax evasion (3 billion euros in 2024), savings of expenditure and policy strategy to avoid excessive expectations.
